Your Oakland Athletics have finally finished their opening series (plural?) with the Red Sox, with a 1-3 record. It's logical at this point to begin bracing one's self for a long year, but let's look at some of the big factors piece by piece.
1) Huston Street isn't at his top form yet. He's given up home runs in both appearances so far, and he really needs to come to grips with his slider. Street needs to be at his top form for both plans: If the A's are going to go for it on the off chance the Angels never recover from blows to their rotation, Street needs to be our go to man for the postseason. Likewise, if we are sticking with Codename: 2010, Street needs to keep his trade value up for Beane to net some good prospects for him and allow Joey Devine to move into the pen and get some big league work in. I'm not too worried here--Street has always had a pretty high blown save count. The A's will rely on him a lot this year though, with the offense being somewhat subpar, the games will be close.
2) I'm not sure what to make of the offense yet, but my gut isn't agreeing with my decision nonetheless. The team leaders right now in hitting are Kurt Suzuki, Bobby Crosby and Jack Hannahan. While I'm thrilled that the three of them are producing, I'm wondering where everybody else is. Buck mentioned in an article on the A's website said. "It's everything -- my whole body, from my feet to my head. But seeing and identifying the problem, that's a step in the right direction." That concerns me more than anything. I would hope these things would be worked out in Spring Training, but Buck had a good second half last year. Regardless, I'd like to see him and the others maintain some regularity in their hitting so as to facilitate Beane's aforementioned decision.
3) Rich Harden looks good. I can't say enough about how key this is to the whole process, and even though he's been limited in his innings (good move Geren,) I like what I see. Sports Illustrated's recent Baseball Preview toyed around with the idea of making Harden a Sunday Starter, but I think the depth of the bullpen is more suited to allowing Harden to stick to a low inning plan rather than a fewer starts plan. Let's keep our fingers crossed that this isn't the baseball gods toying with us.
4) The Angels look good, unfortunately. Other than the game against the Twins where they had trouble producing, they look really solid. Garland and Saunders were both lights out in their opening performances, and their offense has four members who out produce our best guy. It's intimidating to compare outfields with them, when their pinch runner (Reggie Willits) would be a automatic starter on the A's.
As I've stated before--it's going to be a hard April. The A's schedule is very rough (4 against the Red Sox, 6 against the Indians, etc.) and the A's are still trying to see what works with all of its cogs in new sprockets. Duchscherer is on the hill tonight, and I'm hoping that his wide array of breaking stuff will be able to keep guys off balance for a whole game. His fastball is only upper 80's, so their is the chance that guys will figure him out when they come around to their 3rd matchup. Considering the fact that he's being converted from a reliever and may have stamina issues, the 6th inning will be the most pivotal for him.
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3 comments:
Good thoughts, Andy. The A's look much better than expected and it seems that Cleveland agrees with them at this point. After coming out smoking the first two games, the Indians have fallen to 2-3. It's way too early to put too much stock but Duchsherer and Eveland pitched well. Pitching has always and will always be the key to A's seasons especially in McAfee. If their guys perform above expectations, then an 85 win season is realistic.
I think its reasonable to bet the farm at this point: By way of wins ratio, the A's are infinitely better than the Tigers! The true test will be a couple months into the season to see if injuries start piling up, and how the Angels react to getting (or not getting) Lackey back.
I'm very encouraged by this first week but perhaps I have somewhat lowered expectations. I'll be happy if we just have a competitive team that is fun to watch and our youngsters make the progress we'd hoped for. After 7 games I'm excited.
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